Monday, September 10, 2012

PAGASA LPA to be 11th Typhoon KAREN in 1 Day - Forecast Track

PAGASA Active LPA to be 11th Typhoon KAREN for 2012 - Forecast Track 

PAGASA active Low Pressure Area (LPA), now a typhoon KAREN was sighted 660 km  East of Itbayat, Batanes as of 10 am September 15, 2012 and the 11th Typhoon that entered Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this 2012.

KAREN, previously an active LPA was embedded along InterTropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao which will experience cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorm which may trigger flash floods and landslides.


PAGASA Typhoon KAREN Forecast Track

Coordinates: 22.7N, 128.9E
Signal #1: None
Forecast Track: 
(1) 70 km South of Okinawa Japan - Sunday
Strength: 185 kph near center
Gustiness: 220 kph
Movement Speed: North Northwest at 15 kph
Rain Volume: 15 - 30mm/hr (Heavy to Intense Rains) within 550 km.
Distance from Land: 660 km  East of Itbayat, Batanes


KAREN is expected to enhanced Southwest Monsoon or HABAGAT that will bring rains over Luzon and Western Visayas. Fishing boats and small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Eastern Seaboard of Central and Southern Luzon.

Public are advised to monitor weather updates from time to time. To monitor rain probability every hour in your area, you can visit DOST Project NOAH.


Sources:
PAGASA
Typhoon2000
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
Japan Meteorological Agency


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