Friday, November 30, 2012

PAGASA 16th Typhoon PABLO Forecast Track - Will it HIT LUZON?

PAGASA Typhoon PABLO 3 Days Forecast Track - Threatens Ilocos Provinces

Typhoon PABLO with International name "BOPHA" is sighted 230 km West of Sinait Ilocos Sur as of 4 pm December 8, 2012.

Previously, it is forecast to move West Northwest at 22 kilometers per hour (kph) and possibly to enter Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) this Sunday evening (December 2) and will be called PABLO - the 16th Typhoon to enter PAR for 2012. (Already inside PAR)

PAGASA Typhoon PABLO Forecast Track

Coordinates: 17.0 N, 117.1E

Signal No. 2 (61-100kph winds):
Luzon: Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur and La Union
Visayas: None

Signal No. 1 (30-60kph winds):
Luzon: Cagayan, Calayan, Babuyan, Batanes Grp of Islands, Abra, Apayao, Kalinga, Mt. Province, Benguet, Pangasinan and Zambales
Visayas: None
Mindanao: None

Forecast Track:
(1) 50 km North of Aparri, Cagayan - Sunday
(2) 320 km East of Basco, Batanes - Monday
(3) 550 km Northwest of Basco, Batanes - Tuesday

Strength: 130 kph

Gustiness: 160 kph

Movement: East Northeast at 17 kph

Rainfall Volume: 15-25mm/hr (heavy to intense) within 400 km.

Distance from Land: 230 km West of Sinait Ilocos Sur

Landfall: Davao Oriental (December 4, 5 am), Cagayan de Oro/Negros (December 4, 12 noon), 3rd landfall on Roxas, North Palawan (December 5, 8 am), and possibly 4th landfall on N.Luzon.

Provinces with public storm signal#1 and #2 are alerted against possible landslides and flashfloods especially those living in low lying and mountainous areas.

Fishing boats and other sea vessels are not advised to venture out into the seaboards of Northern and Central Luzon and Western Seaboard of Southern Luzon.

To monitor your weather, flood and rain probability in your area from time to time, please visit Project NOAH

Updates: No Tropical Cyclone within PAR as of December 10, 2012.

Did You Know?

Last year in the same month, Typhoon Sendong hit some parts of Mindanao and became the most deadliest typhoon for 2011. Mindanao was visited by typhoon once every 12 years.

Typhoon Sendong (December 15-18, 2011) causing massive flooding, thousand deaths and billions worth of damages to properties and agriculture 


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