Monday, February 18, 2013

PAGASA LPA Forecast Track - 50% to be Typhoon CRISING

PAGASA Typhoon CRISING 3 Days Forecast Track - 3rd Typhoon that entered PAR for 2013

PAGASA sighted Low Pressure Area (LPA), now a typhoon, 450 km Northwest of Zamboanga City as of 4am February 21, 2013.

Previously, this LPA has a 30-50% of becoming a typhoon in the next 24 hours and will be called CRISING - the 3rd typhoon to enter Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) for 2013.

This weather disturbance is expected to bring heavy rains and thunderstorms in Mindanao particularly in Davao, Caraga and SOCCSKSARGEN which may trigger flashfloods and landslides.


Coordinates: 7.8N, 117.9E

Signal # 1 (45-60kph winds)
Luzon: Southern Palawan
Visayas: NONE
Mindanao: NONE

Forecast Track:
(1) 430 km Southwest of Puerto Princesa City - Friday
(2) 590 km Southwest of Puerto Princesa City - Saturday

Strength: 45 kph near center

Movement: West Northwest at 15 kph

Rainfall Volume: 5-15 mm/hr (moderate-heavy) within 300 km

LandFall: First-Southern Tip of Davao del Sur, 2nd-Zamboanga and possibly 3rd on Southern Palawan.

Distance to Land: 450 km Northwest of Zamboanga City

Everybody is advised to prepare in advanced. To monitor your weather and rain probability from time to time in your area, please visit DOST Project NOAH.

Did You Know:

In 2011 and 2010 there is no typhoon on PAR for the month of January and February. In 2009, AURING (January) and BISING (February) entered our Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

Updates: Typhoon CRISING is already outside PAR as of 9am February 22, 2012


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