Sunday, July 14, 2013

PAGASA 9th Typhoon ISANG Forecast Track: Cagayan-Isabela Landfall?

PAGASA tracks new LPA and will be called ISANG - the 9th typhoon to enter PAR fort 2013

PAGASA sighted Low Pressure Area (LPA), now developed into Tropical Depression 220 km West of Basco, Batanes as of 10pm July 17, 2013 previously embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) across Palawan, Visayas and Mindanao.

Previous forecast of this LPA was low to high chance of becoming a typhoon and will be called ISANG - the 9th typhoon to enter Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) for 2013.

"TD ISANG" will enhance the Southwest Monsoon (HABAGAT) which will bring light to moderate rains and thunderstorm over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon.


Coordinates: 20.5N, 119.6E

Signal #1 (45-60 kph winds)
Luzon: Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands and Batanes Group of Islands
Visayas: NONE
Mindanao: NONE

Forecast Track:
(1) Out of PAR - Thursday Morning
(2) 530 km Northwest of Basco, Batanes - Thursday Evening

Strength: max of 65 kph near the center

Gustiness: 80 kph

Movement: Northwest at 19 kph

Landfall: Estagno Point, Isabela (1st) and Cagayan (2nd) - Wednesday

Rainfall Volume: 5-15mm per hr (moderate to heavy) within 300 km diameter

Distance to Land: 220 km West of Basco, Batanes

Residents on low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal#1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Everybody is advised to prepare in advanced. To monitor your weather and rain probability from time to time in your area, please visit PAGASA and DOST Project NOAH.

Updates: Typhoon ISANG is already out of PAR (as of July 18, 2013)

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