Thursday, August 8, 2013

PAGASA 12th Typhoon LABUYO Forecast Track - Will it HIT LUZON?

PAGASA 12th Typhoon "LABUYO" 3 days forecast track as of 10pm, August 11, 2013, threatening Isabela-Aurora region this coming Monday, Aug. 12.

PAGASA sighted the 12th typhoon to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) for 2013 at 110 km Southeast of Casiguran, Aurora as of 10pm August 11, 2013. Typhoon TY "LABUYO" was previously an LPA a few days ago.

Meanwhile the Low Pressure Area (LPA) was estimated 65 km Southeast of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro embedded along Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), it will bring rainshowers and thunderstorms over Southern Luzon, Visayas and Northern Mindanao. Updates: LPA is outside PAR

If developed into typhoon, it will be called "MARING", the 13th typhoon to enter PAR.

PAGASA 12th Typhoon LABUYO Forecast Track and Rain Volume

PAGASA MTSAT of Typhoon "LABUYO" as of 11pm August 11, 2013 with gustiness of 210 kph and sustained winds of 175 kph near center.

Coordinates: 15.6N, 123.1E

Signal #3 (101-185 kph winds)
Luzon: Cagayan, Isabela, Aurora, Polilio Island, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Viscaya, Benguet, Quirino, Abra, Ifugao, Mt, Province, Kalinga, Apayao, Ilocus Norte, Ilocus Sur, La Union and Pangasinan.
Visayas: None
Mindanao: None

Signal #2 (61-100 kph winds)
Luzon: Northern Quezon, Rizal, Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, Zambales, Calayan, Babuyan Group of Islands.
Visayas: None
Mindanao: None

Signal #1 (45-60 kph winds)
Luzon: Batanes, Bataan, Cavite, Batangas, Laguna, Rest of Quezon, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes and Metro Manila
Visayas: None
Mindanao: None

LABUYO Forecast Track :
(1) 100 km Southwest of  Laoag City - Monday Evening
(2) 470 km Southwest of  Laoag City or outside PAR - Tuesday Evening

Strength: max of 175 kph near center

Gustiness: 210 kph

Movement: West Northwest at 19 kph

Landfall: Casiguran, Aurora (3am, Aug 12), Nueva Vizcaya (7am, Aug 12)

Rainfall Volume: 10-25 mm/hr (heavy-intense) within 600 km diameter

Distance to Land: 110 km Southeast of Casiguran, Aurora

Everybody is advised to prepare in advanced and monitor weather updates from time to time. Kindly visit Project NOAH to monitor your area rain probability and PAGASA weather forecast.

Updates: Typhoon "LABUYO" is already out of PAR as of August 13 ,2013. According to NDRRMC as of 5 am Aug 13, 2103, "LABUYO" left a casualties of 2 dead, 1 missing, 11 injured, 7,100 affected families in 154 barangays from Region 1, 2 ,3, 5 and CAR and ~P58 million worth of damages to properties.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

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